David Moscrop

David Moscrop

A Liberal Majority? An Election? A New Government? How About Some Light Spring Prognostication?

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David Moscrop
Mar 13, 2026
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High-five if you’re having a good time! Photo by nikko macaspac on Unsplash

Predicting the future is the ultimate scam in opinion writing. I try not to do it too often because it feels greasy unless you’re trying to calm everyone down and remind people that as a rule the most likely thing tends to happen most of the time. Opinion writers rely on predictions because if you’re right, you get to remind people of the fact and look like a soothsayer (so wise, so valuable). If you’re wrong, no one remembers and you keep your mouth shut. Prediction? What prediction? I don’t remember any prediction.

Canadians want to know what’s going to happen in the weeks, months, and years to come because they’re worried about their future. Looking ahead is reasonable because humans like predictability and stability, each of which are in short supply right now. So what’s going to happen in Canada?

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